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Iditarod day eight (the turning point)

Monday,  03/13/23  10:30 AM

Hi all ... just checking in on the 2023 Iditarod ... and we may have just passed the critical moment of the race.  Here's the current view from the tracker:

As you can see, Ryan Redington and Peter Kaiser just reached Elim.  They both traveled through Koyuk last night, stopped for a bit, and then continued on, within a few miles of each other.  It's been quite a while since yesterday afternoon at Shaktoolik, where they each gave their teams a nice rest.  So what will happen now?  Ryan has taken off, after just a brief rest, and Peter has stayed.  So now there are two possibilities: Ryan will keep going to White Mountain, take his "8" there, and then take off to win going away, or Ryan will have to rest his team, Pete will come charging up, and will pass him with a full head of steam.  That seems less likely, but then maybe Pete sensed he wasn't going to win just racing Ryan head-to-head anyway.

The rest of the field is now resigned to being also-rans; Richie Diehl remains solidly in third - could come back into the picture depending! - Matt Hall has moved into 4th along with Kelly Maixner, and the second five are all resting in Koyuk: Matthew Failor, Eddie Burke, Hunter Keefe, and Jesse Homes, with Mille Porsild just pulling in.  Stay tuned!

Pete Kaiser and team

Richie Diehl and team

Hunter Keefe and team
like that style of having the lead dog on a long lead

Eddie Burke and team

 

Iditarod day eight, too (everyone everywhere)

Monday,  03/13/23  05:08 PM

Hmmm....  looks like the 2023 Iditarod is over, and Ryan Redington will win.  He just pulled into White Mountain, the penultamite checkpoint where all teams are required to take an 8 hour rest.  As the view in the tracker below shows, he's now 38 miles ahead - a good 6-7 hours of mushing - and barring any weirdness should finish comfortably in front.

His decision this morning to keep going after reaching Elim has paid off.  Pete Kaiser decided to rest his team for six hours, and he's now fighting it out for second with Richie Diehl, who took a much shorter rest of two hours at Elim, and with Matt Hall, who didn't rest at all and caught both Pete and Richie.  Matt might have the momentum to pass both of them, or might have burned up his team; time will tell.  Anyway those three look to be 2nd, 3rd, and 4th.

View of Flow Tracker with predict times enables, and sorted by those times
Note prediction is Matt Hall will finish 2nd, ahead of Riche and Pete

Further back there's been a lot of action, too; Jessie Holmes has now moved all the way up into 5th (!) with long runs and short rests, passing Matthew Failor, Eddie Burke, and Kelly Maixnor.  Just a bit further back are Mille Porsild and Hunter Keefe.

the finishing chute in Nome is locked and loaded
predicted finish for Ryan is 14:48 tomorrow!
(which will be a new record)

 

 

bank run day

Monday,  03/13/23  09:44 PM

Hi all ... hope you enjoyed bank run day!  Fortunately we have the government to save us, whew.  I'm pretty conflicted because I think the SVB collapse was bad governance, not our nor the government's fault*, so part of me would like to see them fail.  But confidence in our financial systems is important too.  Onward.

* government *are* responsible for inflation due to spending more than we create - Covid recovery, "inflation reduction" (aka infrastructure spending), etc., and that caused rates to go up, but bank managers should see these things coming...

Check out the shadow cast on Superstition Mountain, at right.  How cool is that?  And more than a little spooky...

Vivek Ramaswamy posted this list of working groups at Silicon Valley Bank.  Note the "Risk Group" ... focused on ESG!  

So you look at this list and think, "should we [the federal government] bail them out?"

Brent Simmons: "The complaints about the time change have for years been worse than the time change itself."  Heh. 

Philip Greenspun: how did Jamaica get to be so dangerous?  "When Jamaica gained independence in 1962, the murder rate was 3.9 per 100,000 inhabitants, one of the lowest in the world. In 2005, Jamaica had 1,674 murders, for a murder rate of 58 per 100,000 people, the highest murder rate in the world."  Yikes. 


This is awesome ... and scary: Whole Mars Catalog: Golden Gate Bridge on Tesla Full Self-Driving beta.  It's speeded up, which makes it scarier, but overall quite impressive.  Can't wait to have it myself! 

David Burge on Forbes: it's the Sports Illustrated curse, for con artists.  It's not easy being so consistently wrong! 

Interesting: Facebook and Instagram are officially done with NFTs.  They were never that engaged anyway; there's just no there there. 

Tomorrow is Pi Day ... we'll see what else happens!

 

 
 

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