Critical Section


So, WhatsApp?

Wednesday,  02/19/14  11:01 AM

WhatsApp?!By now you've heard the news, Facebook have acquired messaging service WhatsApp, for $19B.  Yes that's B as in billion, and while nobody questions the value of this service to Facebook - WhatsApp has become huge in India, for example, where Facebook is hardly known - everyone questions the valuation.  Can any company without revenue be worth that much?

Yes.

I remember clearly when Google bought YouTube in 2006, for $1.7B, which was the incredible "what are they thinking" acquisition of its day.  It took me a bit but I came to see that this had nothing to do with profit, revenue, or market share.  It has to do with market cap.

(The same factor explains Microsoft's acquisition of Skype in 2011, for $8.2B)

For a big public company like Facebook or Google, growth is difficult.  They can release new products and keep acquiring customers, but tacking on big chunks of revenue is difficult. In order to support their stock prices, they must support their vision.  When they buy a company, the value lies in what the acquisition does to their stock.  In Google's case, their market cap rose by well over $1.7B right after the YouTube acquisition, so that they essentially bought the company for free.  Investors paid for it, but then again those investors got their money's worth, too.

The same may be true for Facebook.  So far it isn't, but it is early days, and the long term vision for Facebook is definitely supported by WhatsApp, just as the long term vision of Google was clearly supported by YouTube.  (Whether the long term vision of Microsoft was supported by Skype is hard to say; it is hard to see any long term vision at Microsoft.)

So ... for an entrepreneurial little company, what are the lessons of WhatsApp?  Build somethinguseful and mazing, serve your customers, and good things may happen :)

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