Famous last words... quoting from Madness Round Four, after last weekend:
An awesomely bad call; Michigan State won a hard-fought battle over Connecticut, and North Carolina rolled Villanova. And now my bracket is no longer in pretty good shape; it was great while it lasted, (and I did okay considering I had picked UCLA to go all the way,) but things have finally fallen back to Earth.
The Michigan State / UConn game was weird; all through the first half Michigan State outplayed UConn and they took a small lead into halftime, but you had the sense that UConn was the stronger team and could power ahead at any moment. But the second half was different; the teams played even until about the ten minute mark, at which point Michigan State slowly but surely put the game away. It is hard to call the Fridge Score* but I am tempted to make it 8:30 or so; it wasn't as close as it felt. And yet and yet; UConn did make that late run with about two minutes to go. So we'll say FS=01:30. I really think if UConn had started using the press they deployed at the end of the game earlier they could have pulled this one out.
The North Carolina / Villanova game was really never in doubt (after tipoff, that is :). North Carolina immediately took a 10+ lead and pretty much held it all the way, looking like clearly the better team. In fact in the second half there were a couple of moments when Villanova pulled closer, but it was only because NC seemed to let up, with the game securely in hand. I make it FS=20:00. I didn't see any weakness at all in North Carolina, they have a complete team and they play as one. At this point I'd have to pick them over Michigan State.
So we'll see what Monday brings... stay tuned!